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Contents tagged with Analyst Insight
12 December 2025
This morning, Defra released its estimates for 2025 UK cereal and oilseed production. These are the first ‘official’ numbers; AHDB published provisional UK cereal and oilseed rape production estimates back in October, using Defra England and Scottish Government provisional data, with estimates for Wales and Northen Ireland. So how do the final official estimates, compare to our provisional forecasts and what does this mean for UK supply and demand this season?
28 November 2025
AHDB’s first report on the condition of crops for harvest 2026 shows very good prospects for winter wheat, barley, oats and oilseed rape.
27 November 2025
This morning AHDB released the first official UK cereals supply and demand estimates for 2025/26. With a very mixed harvest this season for most crops and uncertainties around demand, we take a look at what this means for supply and demand this season
24 November 2025
The latest HMRC UK trade data shows September wheat imports at 198.5 Kt, sitting above the 10-year average for the month (162.4 Kt) but well below the unusually high 279.9 Kt recorded in September last year.
13 November 2025
AHDB’s Early Bird Survey of early plantings and planting intentions shows a 30% rise in the UK oilseed rape area for harvest 2026 to 316 Kha.
4 November 2025
AHDB’s 52nd Cereal Quality Survey shows good wheat quality in 2025 but some notable challenges for barley, especially for spring barley.
30 October 2025
This analysis explores the production and profitability of oilseed rape (OSR) in the UK compared to a selection of EU countries; Germany, France, and Poland. As some of the largest producers of OSR in the EU, and countries benchmarking data through agri benchmark, we can make comparisons to the UK results to see the impact this has had on production up to 2024.
30 October 2025
This morning AHDB released the Early Balance Sheets for wheat and barley for 2025/26 – the first look at supply and demand for the season.
16 October 2025
Following the release of provisional data by Defra for England last week and by the Scottish government for Scotland this morning, we can now provide a first insight into the UK’s 2025 production.
16 October 2025
During the 2024/25 season, 55% of UK wheat imports came from Canada and Germany – what are the prospects for 2025/26?
21 November 2025
Earlier today, Defra released its first estimates of cereal (wheat, barley and oats) and oilseed rape production in England from the 2025 harvest.
2 October 2025
In recent conversations, many farmers have reported that, despite historically high prices, falling commodity prices have added further strain, leaving profit margins tighter than ever.